Mountain West likely will need to apply for BCS exemption to qualify; Boise State wouldn't push league over the top

By Chadd Cripe
ccripe@idahostatesman.com
© 2010 Idaho Statesman

On Thursday, the Bowl Championship Series released its criteria for determining if a seventh conference will qualify for an automatic bid in 2012 and 2013.

I wasted a good chunk of the night compiling the data — and here’s what I found:

The Mountain West is in strong position to meet the criteria to “apply to the Presidential Oversight Committee for an exemption” from the actual criteria. The league almost certainly will not meet the criteria required to earn a bid without applying for an exemption.

And while Boise State would help the Mountain West, it appears the Broncos won’t be enough help to force the Mountain West to add them. Maybe the league would do it as insurance — and to impress that oversight committee.

Breaking it down …

— The BCS looks at three criteria over the four-year evaluation period that runs from 2008 to 2011 — a conference’s highest-ranked team in the BCS standings, average ranking of teams in the BCS computers and placement of teams in the Top 25 (there’s a points system that rewards high finishes and a calculation that takes into account the size of the league).

— To be guaranteed an automatic bid, the Mountain West needs to finish in the top six in the first two categories and with at least 50 percent of the point total of the top league in the third (Top 25).

— The Mountain West is currently third in the highest-ranked-team category with an average of five. The Big Ten is seventh with an average of eight, so the Mountain West should finish in the top six. Boise State would not help the league in this category right now, but could with a high finish in 2010.

— The Mountain West is seventh in the conference-average category at 58.6. The Big Ten is sixth at 50.9. That’s a big gap. Adding Boise State would cut the league average to 53.5 — still not enough to crack the top six, but maybe enough to sway the Presidential Oversight Committee.

— The Mountain West has averaged 10 Top 25 points. The leader is the Southeastern Conference with 11, so the league easily meets the “50 percent” criteria. Boise State would give the Mountain West the top ranking here but that would just be style points — it’s not necessary.

— To apply for the exemption, the Mountain West needs to finish seventh in one of the first two categories (conference average) and at least fifth in the other (highest-ranked team). The Top 25 threshold drops to 33.3 percent, but that isn’t an issue for the Mountain West. So as of right now, the Mountain West would qualify to apply for the exemption.

The final rankings will be based on league membership in December of 2011. That means the Mountain West must invite Boise State by Sept. 1 for the Broncos’ accomplishments to be included for this evaluation period. That would put Boise State in the league for the 2011 football season.

The six current BCS conferences are guaranteed bids through 2013, so this cycle is only about determining whether a seventh conference is worthy.

However, it’s worth noting that the ACC and Big Ten currently would not even meet the criteria for an exemption. The ACC is eighth in highest-ranked team and the Big Ten is seventh in highest-ranked team and sixth in average ranking.

Here are the numbers I came up with:

Highest-ranked team (two-year average)
1. SEC 1.5
1. Big 12 1.5
3. MWC 5
4. Pac-10 6
5. Big East 7.5
5. WAC 7.5
7. Big Ten 8
8. ACC 11.5

Average team ranking
1. SEC 38.6
2. ACC 40.3
3. Big East 42.7
4. Big 12 46.4
5. Pac-10 49.9
6. Big Ten 50.9
(MWC w/ BSU 53.5)
7. MWC 58.6
8. WAC 72.2

Top 25 points (two-year average)
(MWC w/BSU 12.9)
1. SEC 11
2. Big Ten 10.1
3. Big 12 10
4. MWC 10
5. PAC-10 7.9
6. Big East 7.5
7. ACC 6
8. WAC 4.4

Here are the members of the presidential oversight committee, according to the BCS website. The committee has the final say on BCS matters.

Presidential Oversight Committee
Harvey Perlman - Chancellor, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Chair
Scott Cowen - President, Tulane University
Rev. John Jenkins - President, University of Notre Dame
Mark A. Nordenberg - President, University of Pittsburgh
John G. Peters - President, Northern Illinois University
Gary Ransdell - President, Western Kentucky University
Robert Shelton - President, University of Arizona
Graham Spanier - President, The Pennsylvania State University
Charles W. Steger - President, Virginia Tech University
Robert Witt - President, University of Alabama
John Welty - President, Fresno State University
Michael Young - President, University of Utah

1272055489 Mountain West likely will need to apply for BCS exemption to qualify; Boise State wouldn't push league over the top Idaho Statesman Copyright 2014 Idaho Statesman . All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

ok

so we can wish one hand and crap in the other what fills up faster

I love that saying

Been using it for many, many years.

who cares mwc and wac will

who cares mwc and wac will always be a midm major noise state needs to be undefeated every year to qualify for a bowl gane major now scheduling legitimate o[pponents instead of cupcakes we will find out about time athletic director oh by the way asthletic director do you remember billy don jackson you were his tutor years ago he started out not reading after you tutored him he did not advance

What?

Whoa there, step away from the keyboard, friend.

Huh?

That doesn't make sense. Try using, oh, let's say, punctuation, complete sentences and spell check. And just to prove you can, how about completing a thought? One more thing: Just so you can say you actually tried to comply with the editor's rules, why don't you stay on message? Just saying...

.

i usually hate grammer nazis but your either wasted or just dont give a f, congrates captain keyboard

That crap's gonna kill ya

Use it for sticking things together,not sniffing.

Hey you stupid fool, why did

Hey you stupid fool, why did you stop posting about Wilson going in the third round last night. You were all over the board letting the stupid fall out of your mouth about how he would not go before the third round, then when he is gone in the first you say nothing else.
Just like when you said bsu would lose to ore twice, lose to tcu, lose to nev, lose to fresno and every other stupid prediction you have ever made.
Stop breathing as you are wasting air a person could be using.
You have already proven you are an idiot, stop trying to drive home the point.

weistard, you have been

marked absent from your second grade cla*s today. you may be arrested for truancy. who or what is noise state? is that the state of things in your mind? perhaps the state of things in your bedroom as you step over dirty laundry you continue to don? weistard...................

I guess b is next to n and W doesn't edit

----------

You can use any words you like here, as long as you don't use actual words.

Wiestard...

The toilet bowl is NOT for drinking. Can someone please help him understand? Its beyond creepy wies....

My guess

is that it's pretty likely the Big 10 will take a Big 12 team or two in the relatively near future, and the Pac 10 likely will also.

If the Big 12 wants to continue existing, it will raid surrounding conferences for members - probably including the MWC.

At that point the MWC might add BSU and a few other teams, but it will basically be a glorified WAC at that point.

Boise State Would Help

If the MWC is short in one category, Boise State could push them over the top. And given that Boise State is a sure bet top 25 team (TCU is the only sure bet top 25 team in the MWC for 2010), the MWC presidents would be wise to try to hedge their bets--even though they would rather not add a team. Boise State's numbers for this year and the last two seasons would help the MWC make its case, and perhaps qualify without seeking the exemption.

Watsons Alias

Guy's be nice. I believe it's an alias that Graham W. uses. She's obviously doing some research.

Ya you are right...

I cant stand Graham Watson. Neither can any of the Boise St. staff. She knows it too, which makes it all the more funny. What info about Mid Major programs she doesnt outright make up, she steals and plagiarizes. Shes real c-l-a-s-s-y.

I was of course, referring

I was of course, referring to weisberg.

weisberg...and the bsbcs..

you truly are an insult to premeditated stoooopidity, and moreso than ive previously given you credit for. can you even wipe yourself without smearing?????

this bcs gig is more and more a total joke with indy notre dame being an 'automatic qualifier'.

playoff!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

oh yeah...

..and Graham is just as dumb as the bcs...but she can type. *hint weisgurg*

Very good research Chadd....

...very comprehensive breakdown of the facts involved. It may take a while to digest but you did as good a job as I have seen with the breakdown.

Fact remains, the MWC can act on their own with the exemption without an invite to BSU. But I appears that we'll all know one way or the other on BSU being invited before Sept. 1st.

If the MWC is leaning towards the BSU invite, I would think there would be some noise starting soon.

Because of the outstanding job on this Chadd I promise not to mention your cow tipping days at Wazzu for at least a week or two.

Just disband the WAC

Then, divide up the teams. That'll give expansions to the PAC-10, WMC and whatever conference wants the rest.

Truth?

Did you know Chad at Wazzu? Not that cow tipping is bad, been there done that. But, I would like some fecal matter on the Chad. And Wiestard, Fuuck, did any of your siblings survive birth? Or did you consume them invetro?

Sadly, yes I believe The Cripe was/is a Coug....

...at least he's not flipping burgers at McDonalds like most other Wazzu grads. Since most Cougs spend the large majority of their time on a bar stool somewhere between Pullman and Troy, Id. the memory loss is .... well, significant. So getting any 'fecal matter' on The Chadd may be difficult. You might start with a little research of the county police records in Colfax.

The fact remains that if you were once a Coug, you're always a Coug. Where else can one achieve a major in beer drinking with a minor in the fine arts of cow tipping?

You can scan through Google for a bio on the Cripe but like most all other Cougs when you get to "Education information" it will be blank or say "no educational available" -- or in other words, they went to Wazzu for four years but no education was received.

Since Huskies generally end up employing Cougs I do have a slight degree of compa-s-sion for a Coug -- not much, but some.

....and finally. NO, I didn't know Chadd from Wazzu days! I am NOT a Coug!! It should be very clear to you that from the pure intelligence I display here on a regular basis it would have been impossible for me to have been a Coug!

The "tard"

"it rubs the lotion on it's skin".

I crack myself up

Sorry bronc81, I'm shiiting

Chadd

The PAC 10 has been going down hill for a couple of years now. If that trend were to continue in 2010 (looks like the first time in years the P10 will have only two teams in the pre-season top 25), and they ended up with only 2 ranked teams (none in the top 10) and BSU were to finish 5 or higher. How would the "conference-average category" play out if BSU were part of the MWC?

If I were on the committee

If I were on the committee, I'd want Boise in the MWC before I'd grant the exemption. BSU has shown it can finish in the top 12 regularly, and there's speculation they could even finish there this year with one loss. If all the MWC schools are in a conference that gets an automatic seventh bid, that would leave BSU as a strong favorite to get an automatic non-AQ bid every year.

That's two slots the current AQ conferences can count on losing nearly every year. With Boise in the MWC, they probably just lose one.