WAC bowl scenarios coming into focus

I was doing some WAC bowl calculations while in the Portland airport on Sunday — and, while yes, I know that makes me something of a dork — I thought the results were interesting, especially in light of the league's agreement with the San Diego-based Poinsettia Bowl.

This is what I came up with:

Boise State (7-0)
Games remaining: New Mexico State, Utah State, Idaho, Nevada, Fresno State
Projected record: 12-0
Bowl game: BCS/Poinsettia Bowl

San Jose State (5-3)
Games remaining: Idaho, Louisiana Tech, Nevada, Fresno State
Projected record: 9-3
Bowl game: Humanitarian Bowl

Fresno State (5-2)
Games remaining: Louisiana Tech, Nevada, New Mexico State, San Jose State, Boise State
Projected record: 8-4 with losses to San Jose State and Boise State
Bowl game: New Mexico Bowl

Hawaii (4-4)
Games remaining: Utah State, New Mexico State, Idaho, Washington State, Cincinnati
Projected record: 8-5 with loss to Cincinnati
Bowl game: Hawaii Bowl

Nevada (4-4)
Games remaining: Fresno State, San Jose State, Boise State, Louisiana Tech
Projected record: 5-7 with losses to Fresno State, San Jose State and Boise State
Bowl game: None

Louisiana Tech (3-4)
Games remaining: Fresno State, San Jose State, Utah State, New Mexico State, Nevada
Projected record: 5-7 with losses to Fresno State, San Jose State and Nevada
Bowl game: None

New Mexico State (3-4)
Games remaining: Boise State, Hawaii, Fresno State, Louisiana Tech, Utah State
Projected record: 4-8 with losses to Boise State, Hawaii, Fresno State and Louisiana Tech
Bowl game: None

Some clarifications:

• I talked with WAC commissioner Karl Benson on Tuesday and he said that a 6-6 WAC team is not guaranteed a spot in the Poinsettia Bowl.

"If there was another 7-5 some place they would have to go in front of that 6-6 WAC team," Benson said.

The deal serves two functions: It gets a 7-win WAC team in ahead of any other bowl eligible team. And it gets a 6-6 WAC team in ahead of a 6-6 team from any other league.

• Also, Benson estimated the WAC lost about $500,000 by sending Boise State to last year's Hawaii Bowl. He said it cost about $350,000 to send the Broncos to Hawaii and their absence from the Humanitarian Bowl cost another $150,000 in lost revenues.

It would have cost some amount of money — probably in the $300,000 range — to send Fresno State to Hawaii, so I put the total cost to the WAC at about $200,000.

Not exactly chump change.

How does that figure into this year?

Ask yourself: Will the rest of the WAC agree to send Boise State to the Poinsettia Bowl when the league can make more money by keeping the Broncos in Boise?

San Jose State believes it could draw a pretty good crowd to San Diego and would draw a dismal crowd in Boise. That would probably be the most profitable scenario for the WAC, even if Boise State would play a 6-6 ACC team in the H-Bowl.

Got to imagine the H-Bowl, which hasn't had the Broncos since 2005, would also like to keep the Broncos home for its bottom line.

Pizza Winners

• We had a lot of very close guesses in last week's Name the Score contest. The two winners are:

GiveMeABreakMan who picked 32-17 and guinness2_0 who picked 34-17. Apologies to hallkenr who also picked 34-17, but got in a bit late.

Thanks to everyone for participating.

BSU Crunches New Mexico State

BSU corners will cause headaches for New Mexico State, and the Broncos' ground game will grind them into submission!
BSU 37
New Mexico State 14

Can't believe

you gave NMSU 14 points. Will they get that in the fourth when their playing BSU's 4th string players?

canadian bacon and mushroom please!

BSU 38
NMSU 7

Rout! via the run game

Johnson and Avery score 2 each plus!

BSU - 63
NMSU - 10

Broncos shatter Aggies

Broncos 42
Aggies 6

Win #8

Boise State 48
New Mexico State 17