Oscar picks
The Oscars, which a month ago looked about as likely as a best actor nomination for Eddie Murphy for his role in "Norbit," are being announced on Sunday night. (What a difference a year makes - Murphy was nominated for supporting actor for "Dreamgirls" last year).
The show will go on. Jon Stewart will restrain himself from making too many strike jokes, and these movies, actors and actresses will wake up next to a golden statue on Monday morning.
Best Picture - (Nominees: “Atonement,” “Juno,” “Michael Clayton,” “No Country for Old Men,” “There Will be Blood”)
Campaigns were mounted. “Michael Clayton” was re-released. Replicas of Juno’s bedroom were set up at Los Angeles malls. Members of the press were given milkshakes to keep “There Will Be Blood” top of mind.
“Atonement” could have won the Oscar in 1998, but not 2008. “Juno” – too quirky for the Academy. “There Will Be Blood” – great film, but too long to appeal to the average movie goer (not that that matters to the snobby Academy folks). In an ideal world the excellent legal thriller Michael Clayton could win, but… “No Country for Old Men” will win this one in spite of its vague ending, and the Coen brothers are likely to take home best director honors.
Best Actor - (Nominees: George Clooney in “Michael Clayton,” Daniel Day-Lewis in “There Will Be Blood,” Johnny Depp in “Sweeney Todd The Demon Barber of Fleet Street,” Tommy Lee Jones in “In the Valley of Elah,” Viggo Mortensen in "Eastern Promises")
This is one award widely considered to be a lock. Daniel Day-Lewis should and will bring it home.
Best Actress - (Nominees: Cate Blanchett in “Elizabeth: The Golden Age,” Julie Christie in “Away from Her,” Marion Cotillard in “La Vie en Rose,” Laura Linney in “The Savages,” Ellen Page in “Juno”)
It would be great if Ellen Page would win this one. But will voters get past the fact that she appears to be playing herself? I can tell you who won’t win: Cate Blanchett. She’s already won playing “Elizabeth” in a much better movie. Marion Cotillard. Votes don’t come easy for a foreign-language performance.
Best Supporting Actor - (Nominees: Casey Affleck in “The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford,” Javier Bardem in “No Country for Old Men,” Philip Seymour Hoffman in “Charlie Wilson’s War,” Hal Holbrook in “Into the Wild,” Tom Wilkinson in “Michael Clayton”)
Javier Bardem is as creepy as they come as unremorseful serial killer Anton Chigurh in “No Country.” Only one close would be Tom Wilkinson for “Michael Clayton.”
Best Supporting Actress - (Nominees: Cate Blanchett in “I’m Not There,” Ruby Dee in “American Gangster,” Saoirse Ronan in “Atonement,” Amy Ryan in “Gone Baby Gone,” Tilda Swinton in “Michael Clayton”)
Here I choose with my heart and not my head. Cate Blanchett’s portrayal of a Bob Dylan alter ego was the gutsiest female performance of the year in one of the stranger films. She wins although Tilda Swinton’s performance was also award-worthy.
Think you’ve got the answers? Post your guesses at the winners in these five categories as well as the winner for best foreign language film (Nominees: “Beaufort," "The Counterfeiters,” “Katyn,” “Mongol,” “12”) before the ceremony on Sunday. If you get them all right, I’ll give you free movie tickets.
- David Parker's blog
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I guarantee...
Neither Lassie nor the Spears family will win anything although technically speaking the Spears should package it for an Emmy, Best Unreality Series.
It won't be as good as the Grammys. Good luck, whomever you are for.
Oscar picks
Best Picture- No Country for Old Men
Best Actor- Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Actress- Julie Christie
Best Supporting Actor- Javier Bardeem
Best Supporting Actress- Tilda Swinton
Best Foreign Film- The Counterfeiters